Friday, June 18, 2010

Plastic Surgeon Discusses the Cytori's Celution

As Cytori followers painfully know, Cytori's share price took a big hit when the FDA determined that its Celution technology would need clinical trials. The good news being, classified as a medical device, the path to approval is much shorter than it would otherwise have been had it been classified as a drug. Here's one plastic surgeon's opinion on why its worth waiting for:



AHEAD OF THE CURVE

Here's another plastic surgeon in Arizona who's not waiting for FDA approval and neither are his patients. Apparently he is using the Cytori's research version called the Stem Source to provide natural breast augmentation today.




All great stuff right? And this is just one application. However, as Cytori investors have learned the hard way, the key question now is ....when will the market recognize Cytori's potential for future growth? Still waiting..................

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Cytori Secures $20,000,000 Credit Line

Yesterday, Cytori Therapeutics announced it had secured a $20,0000,000 secured loan facility from a group led by GE Capital. The loan has a term of 3 years at 9.9%, with principal scheduled to amortize over the final 27 months of the term. Part of the loan will be used to retire an existing $4.4 million loan to GE Capital. Cytori issued warrants to purchase 101,266 shares to the lenders in connection with the loan at a strike price of $3.95. Cytori stated that this loan, along with the $30,000,000 raised over the last year through its funding agreement with Seaside 88 LLC, will fund its operations "into 2012".

The significance of this agreement is twofold. First and obviously, it provides the financial resources for Cytori to aggressively move forward on its FDA application to obtain approval for its flagship product, the Celution, the first and only regenerative cell extraction system before the FDA. Secondly, it provides an independent vote of confidence on the company's autologous regenerative technology as a platform for multiple therapeutic therapies using one's own cells.

The timing of the loan comes just one month prior to the scheduled expiration of an exclusive distribution agreement entered into by Cytori and GE 17 months ago (as discussed here in March). In the ensuing 17 months since the agreement was signed, physicians around the globe have made significant progress in showing the effectiveness of Cytori's technology in treating multiple patients with multiple afflictions. The recent presentation at the Jefferies 2010 Life Science Conference provides a great discussion on recent progress that has been demonstrated, not in a lab but on real patients. This progress should put Cytori in a strong position in its negotiations with GE. Will it replace or strengthen its ties with GE for some or all of the distribution rights? Will it carve out the hospital market from the plastic surgeon market?
These answers are now forthcoming. Cytori shareholders will soon have a better understanding of just how much value has been created in the last year in relation to the current stock price

In my opinion, despite the recent stock price weakness, Cytori is still a great and compelling story. But at the end of the day, the stark reality is that the stock market tells you what a company is worth at any moment in time. Do your own DD.

Thursday, June 3, 2010

Merge Health Care - An Insider Story

Merge Health Care (MRGE $2.35) is a small cap health care technology company that according to its website:
...develops solutions that automate healthcare data and diagnostic workflow to enable a better electronic record of the patient experience, and to enhance product development for health IT, device and pharmaceutical companies. Merge products, ranging from standards-based development toolkits to sophisticated clinical applications, have been used by healthcare providers, vendors and researchers worldwide for over 20 years.
So what?...you may ask...and rightfully so. After all, small cap software companies are a dime a dozen AND the market sucks. Well, in my opinion, there are a several factors that make MRGE an interesting investment idea. However, it may be prudent to first take a look back its ugly corporate history to get a sense of how MRGE got where it is:
  • 12/05 - MRGE stock price peaks at $30, as recent quarterly EPS hits $ .28. Only problem...few knew at the time that the numbers weren't real.
  • 11/06 - MRGE announces restructuring plan as stock drops below $7.
  • 10/07 - Accounting scandal breaks and the sh*t hits the fan, as MRGE delays earnings and announces that prior earnings will be restated downward. Wall Street analysts start dropping coverage. Stock price plummets to below $2.
  • 06/08 - On the verge of insolvency, with a stock price south of $1.00, Merrick RIS, LLC steps up to the plate to rescue MRGE with a $20,000,000 investment. Turnaroun begins.
In my opinion. there are three primary reasons to consider Merge Health Care at this time:
  1. The successful turnaround history of the new management team and recent heavy insider buying by Michael Ferro through Merrick RIS, LLC.
  2. The $787 billion American Recovery and Reinvestment Act passed in 2009 that provides $20,000,000,000 over the upcoming years to encourage hospitals and physicians to automate electronic health records and also provides future penalties if they fail to do so.
  3. The 2009 $124 Billion Chinese government stimulus package to automate its health care system. MRGE has an important presence in China and should be well positioned to capitalize.
MERGE has been on an acquisition binge since Ferro took over, following a similar game plan he successfully used in growing a company called Click Commerce:
In all honesty, as an outside investor, it is difficult to independently judge with certainty whether Merge management's strategy to grow revenues and take advantage of synergies through these acquisitions will prove successful. Furthermore, it should be noted that Merge took on $200,000,000 of debt in the form of 5 year notes to finance its most recent acquisition of Amicas, increasing both the risk and the reward profile of this investment. However, when you look at the the continued insider buying from an insider who has already purchased over 30,000,000 shares, in combination with all the global stimulus money being put into this sector in the upcoming years, MRGE seems like a reasonable investment and I have taken a position. If Ferro follows with his Click Commerce playbook, he will likely put MRGE up for sale once its presence as a leading medical imaging technology company has become established.

These are the personal views of Wall Street Titan and should not be the basis of your investment decisions. Multiple links are provided in this note that all readers are encouraged to click and do their own due diligence.